COST ACTION 920

Inventory of QMRA Studies in Europe


Data sheet

Pathogen

Taenia saginata

Country or region

Norway

Transmission route

 From

Beef

To

Man

Specific product(s)

Beef

End-point(s)

 


Reports or publications

Bibliographic reference

Skjerve E. Ecological effect of Taenia saginata in beef imported from a high prevalence area into Norway. J Food Prot 1999 ; 62: 1320-1325.

Abstract

A dynamic simulation model was used to assess the long-term effect of importing beef from an area with a high prevalence of Taenia saginata among cattle. The input of the model was from a Monte Carlo simulation model. The model predicted substantial increases in the prevalence of T. saginata in domestic cattle and in the incidence and prevalence of infections in humans that would last for more than one decade even if importation of infected beef was stopped after 2 years. The results were strongly influenced by various assumptions about proportion of human carriers infected abroad. Only in a scenario where 99% of domestic carriers are infected abroad did the simulation results show no dramatic ecological effect of importation of the beef. If the model's predictions are realistic, then an increase in the prevalence of T. saginata infections in cattle will be observed in and after 1999.

Status

Published 

Availability

Journal


Project group

Institute

 The Norwegian School of Veterinary Science

 

Contact person

Eystein Skjerve; the Norwegian School of Veterinary Science; P.O.Box 8146 dep., N-0033. Mail: Eystein.Skjerve@veths.no

Partners